Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Belenenses |
| 44.22% | 30.62% | 25.16% |
| Both teams to score 37.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.93% | 69.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.36% | 86.64% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% | 31.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% | 67.89% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.75% | 45.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.87% | 81.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 16.46% 2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 7.54% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.92% Total : 44.21% | 0-0 @ 14.25% 1-1 @ 13.05% 2-2 @ 2.99% Other @ 0.32% Total : 30.61% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.16% |