Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Tondela |
| 43.89% | 28.74% | 27.37% |
| Both teams to score 43.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.27% | 62.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.73% | 82.27% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% | 28.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% | 64.25% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% | 39.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% | 76.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 8.89% 2-1 @ 8.24% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.58% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.43% Total : 27.36% |