Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.09%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 42.09% | 31.39% | 26.51% |
| Both teams to score 36.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.47% | 70.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.43% | 87.57% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% | 33.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% | 70.15% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.11% | 44.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.16% | 80.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 16.44% 2-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 7.2% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.09% | 0-0 @ 15.04% 1-1 @ 13.17% 2-2 @ 2.88% Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.39% | 0-1 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.5% |