Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Cagliari |
| 61.9% | 21.41% | 16.69% |
| Both teams to score 50.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% | 68.31% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.69% | 14.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.86% | 42.14% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.17% | 40.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.6% | 77.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 6.41% 4-0 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.62% Total : 61.9% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 5.24% 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.69% |