Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 17, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
3 - 1
Sampdoria

Pedro (4', 90+4'), Caceres (74')
Carboni (13'), Deiola (55'), Strootman (86'), Pavoletti (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorsby (82')
Thorsby (51'), Yoshida (59')
D'Aversa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Sampdoria
42.63%	26.48%	30.89%

Both teams to score 51.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.74%

53.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19%

74.81%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25%

24.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.69%

59.31%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.26%

31.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.84%

68.17%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 42.62%

Sampdoria 30.89%

Draw 26.47%

Cagliari	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.62%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.89%