Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 6, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
1 - 2
Atalanta

Pedro (27')
Godin (20')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Pasalic (6'), Zapata (43')
Koopmeiners (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Atalanta BC
17.45%	19.12%	63.43%

Both teams to score 60.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.02%

33.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.16%

55.84%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36%

32.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82%

69.18%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.77%

10.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.46%

33.55%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 17.45%

Atalanta BC 63.43%

Draw 19.12%

Cagliari	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.77% 1-0 @ 3.74% 2-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.04% Total : 17.45%	1-1 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 3.34% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.12%	1-2 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-3 @ 7.39% 0-3 @ 6.6% 1-4 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 4.14% 0-4 @ 3.76% 2-4 @ 2.36% 1-5 @ 1.92% 0-5 @ 1.72% 2-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.27% Total : 63.43%