Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Genoa win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 30.67% | 24.07% | 45.26% |
| Both teams to score 59.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% | 42.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.62% | 65.38% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% | 26.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% | 62% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% | 19.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% | 50.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 7.37% 1-0 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.67% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-1 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.24% Total : 45.26% |