Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
55.04% | 23.51% | 21.45% |
Both teams to score 52.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.94% | 48.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.78% | 70.22% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.67% | 17.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.3% | 47.7% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.24% | 36.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.45% | 73.55% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.79% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.72% Total : 55.03% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.51% | 0-1 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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