Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 24, 2021 at 8pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
0 - 1
AC Milan

Llorente (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Messias (87')
Giroud (27'), Bakayoko (67'), Hernandez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	AC Milan
48.08%	26.08%	25.83%

Both teams to score 49.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.67%

54.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28%

75.71%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38%

22.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.77%

56.23%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.77%

36.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98%

73.01%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 48.07%

AC Milan 25.83%

Draw 26.08%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.07%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.83%

How you voted: Atletico vs AC Milan

Atletico Madrid

72.9%

Draw

12.6%

AC Milan

14.5%