Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
4 - 3
AC Milan

Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	AC Milan
38.84%	25.2%	35.95%

Both teams to score 56.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.34%

46.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.08%

68.92%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26%

23.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.12%

57.88%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.69%

25.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.92%

60.08%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 38.84%

AC Milan 35.95%

Draw 25.2%

Fiorentina	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.84%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.95%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina

14.3%

Draw

22.0%

AC Milan

63.7%