Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Pedro (52')
Cataldi (56'), Alberto (78'), Immobile (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Castrovilli (24'), Biraghi (47'), Duncan (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
56.87%	23.46%	19.66%

Both teams to score 49.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.94%

50.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.96%

72.03%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61%

17.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.19%

47.8%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24%

39.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57%

76.42%

Score Analysis

Lazio 56.86%

Fiorentina 19.66%

Draw 23.46%

Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 12.09% 2-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 5.69% 4-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.69% Total : 56.86%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.46%	0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.33% Total : 19.66%

How you voted: Lazio vs Fiorentina

Lazio

67.6%

Draw

22.5%

Fiorentina

9.9%