Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
55.94% | 22.32% | 21.74% |
Both teams to score 56.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.46% | 42.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.06% | 64.94% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% | 15.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% | 43.57% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% | 33.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% | 70% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.79% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-1 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.28% Total : 21.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |