Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Oct 31, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Spezia

Vlahovic (44' pen., 62', 74')
Martinez (36'), Venuti (55'), Vlahovic (75'), Maleh (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferrer (21'), Gyasi (43'), Colley (58'), Motta (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Spezia
55.94%	22.32%	21.74%

Both teams to score 56.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46%

42.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06%

64.94%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94%

15.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.43%

43.57%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62%

33.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30%

70%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 55.94%

Spezia 21.74%

Draw 22.32%

Fiorentina	Draw	Spezia
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.79% Total : 55.94%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.32%	1-2 @ 5.73% 0-1 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.28% Total : 21.74%