Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Oct 3, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Napoli

Martinez (28')
Bonaventura (31'), Martinez (36'), Italiano (41'), Pulgar (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lozano (39'), Rrahmani (50')
Zambo Anguissa (54'), Rui (67'), Demme (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
18.88%	21.51%	59.61%

Both teams to score 54.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.14%

42.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.74%

65.27%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57%

36.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79%

73.21%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86%

14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.47%

41.53%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 18.88%

Napoli 59.6%

Draw 21.51%

Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 5.15% 2-1 @ 5.11% 2-0 @ 2.6% 3-1 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.88%	1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 5.1% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.51%	0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.86% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-3 @ 6.46% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 3.21% 0-4 @ 3.18% 2-4 @ 1.62% 1-5 @ 1.26% 0-5 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.6%