Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.29%) and 0-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
| 22.99% | 20.68% | 56.32% |
| Both teams to score 64.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.79% | 33.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.04% | 54.96% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% | 27.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% | 62.43% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% | 11.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.88% | 37.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 5.84% 1-0 @ 4.19% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.77% Total : 23% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 3.21% 3-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-2 @ 7.29% 0-1 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 4.43% 1-4 @ 3.62% 0-4 @ 2.77% 2-4 @ 2.36% 1-5 @ 1.54% 0-5 @ 1.18% 3-4 @ 1.03% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.32% |