Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 1
Genoa

Pedro (36'), Acerbi (75'), Zaccagni (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Melegoni (86')
Ghiglione (30'), Vasquez (60'), Portanova (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Genoa
67.88%	18.63%	13.48%

Both teams to score 52.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88%

40.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51%

62.49%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.16%

10.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.07%

34.93%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.44%

41.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.95%

78.05%

Score Analysis

Lazio 67.88%

Genoa 13.48%

Draw 18.64%

Lazio	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 11.12% 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 4.58% 4-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 4.16% Total : 67.88%	1-1 @ 8.79% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.64%	0-1 @ 3.96% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.48%

How you voted: Lazio vs Genoa

Lazio

90.1%

Draw

6.6%

Genoa

3.3%