Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
| 37.65% | 25.72% | 36.64% |
| Both teams to score 55.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% | 48.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% | 71.01% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% | 25.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% | 60.22% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% | 25.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% | 60.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.64% |