Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 51.11% | 24.05% | 24.84% |
| Both teams to score 54.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% | 46.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% | 69.12% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% | 18.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.53% | 49.46% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% | 33.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% | 69.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.1% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.84% |