Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 47.03% | 24.43% | 28.54% |
| Both teams to score 56.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% | 45.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.93% | 68.07% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% | 19.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% | 51.46% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% | 29.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% | 65.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7.05% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.54% |