Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
47.03% | 24.43% | 28.54% |
Both teams to score 56.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.24% | 45.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.93% | 68.07% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% | 19.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% | 51.46% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% | 29.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% | 65.6% |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7.05% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |