Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
2 - 1
Spezia

Gyasi (15' og.), Candreva (36')
Bereszynski (44'), Colley (45+2'), Candreva (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Verde (90+5')
Hristov (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Spezia
49.27%	24.69%	26.03%

Both teams to score 53.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.37%

48.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.26%

70.74%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23%

19.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.19%

51.81%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01%

32.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42%

69.57%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 49.27%

Spezia 26.03%

Draw 24.69%

Sampdoria	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.27%	1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.23% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.03%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Spezia

Sampdoria

67.9%

Draw

22.6%

Spezia

9.4%