Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 39.07% | 25.97% | 34.96% |
| Both teams to score 54.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% | 50.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% | 72.13% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% | 25.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% | 63.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.96% |