Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.