Hellas Verona

2 - 1

Empoli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hellas Verona in this match.