Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 17, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 4
Atalanta

Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
26.98%	22.49%	50.53%

Both teams to score 62.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.08%

37.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.82%

60.18%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36%

26.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12%

61.88%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75%

15.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.07%

43.92%

Score Analysis

Empoli 26.98%

Atalanta BC 50.53%

Draw 22.48%

Empoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 6.68% 1-0 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.98%	1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 9.5% 0-1 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 5.96% 0-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.94% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.98% Total : 50.53%

How you voted: Empoli vs Atalanta

Empoli

23.4%

Draw

8.5%

Atalanta BC

68.1%