Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 50.01% | 23.8% | 26.18% |
| Both teams to score 56.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% | 44.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.97% | 67.03% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% | 17.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.24% | 48.76% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% | 30.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% | 67.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 5.5% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-1 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.18% |