Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 4
Juventus

Orsolini (85')
Medel (44')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Chiesa (6'), Morata (29', 47'), Rabiot (45')
Morata (37'), McKennie (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 22.18% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.62%) and 0-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Juventus
22.18%	20.67%	57.14%

Both teams to score 63.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.81%

34.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.92%

56.08%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72%

28.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01%

63.99%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.06%

11.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.7%

37.3%

Score Analysis

Bologna 22.18%

Juventus 57.14%

Draw 20.67%

Bologna	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 5.72% 1-0 @ 4.26% 2-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.4% Total : 22.18%	1-1 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.67%	1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 7.17% 1-3 @ 6.83% 0-3 @ 5.4% 2-3 @ 4.31% 1-4 @ 3.63% 0-4 @ 2.87% 2-4 @ 2.29% 1-5 @ 1.54% 0-5 @ 1.22% 2-5 @ 0.97% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 57.14%

How you voted: Bologna vs Juventus

Bologna

5.3%

Draw

9.5%

Juventus

85.3%