Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
| 67.97% | 17.73% | 14.29% |
| Both teams to score 57.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.21% | 33.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.37% | 55.63% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.9% | 9.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.08% | 30.92% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% | 73.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 7.68% 3-0 @ 7.59% 4-1 @ 4.61% 4-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.21% 5-0 @ 2.18% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.79% Total : 67.97% | 1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.87% 0-0 @ 3.31% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.73% | 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-1 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.29% |