Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
67.97% | 17.73% | 14.29% |
Both teams to score 57.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.21% | 33.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.37% | 55.63% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.9% | 9.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.08% | 30.92% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.69% | 36.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.9% | 73.1% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 7.68% 3-0 @ 7.59% 4-1 @ 4.61% 4-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.21% 5-0 @ 2.18% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.79% Total : 67.97% | 1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.87% 0-0 @ 3.31% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.73% | 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-1 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |