Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 11, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Bologna

Mayoral (44')
Pedro (36'), Villar (75'), Pellegrini (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

De Silvestri (38'), Mihajlovic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Bologna
58.84%	20.96%	20.21%

Both teams to score 58.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.7%

38.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.42%

60.59%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.24%

12.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.96%

39.05%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59%

32.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07%

68.94%

Score Analysis

Roma 58.84%

Bologna 20.21%

Draw 20.96%

Roma	Draw	Bologna
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 8.77% 1-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 6.78% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.49% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.81% Total : 58.84%	1-1 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.96%	1-2 @ 5.41% 0-1 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.41% Total : 20.21%

How you voted: Roma vs Bologna

Roma

75.3%

Draw

17.3%

Bologna

7.4%