Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 30.9% | 23.24% | 45.85% |
| Both teams to score 62.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.05% | 38.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.73% | 61.27% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% | 24.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% | 59.09% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% | 17.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% | 47.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% 1-0 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 4.2% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.9% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-1 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 5.36% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.04% Total : 45.85% |