Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Bologna |
| 31.04% | 24.76% | 44.2% |
| Both teams to score 57.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% | 45.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% | 68.25% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% | 27.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% | 63.58% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% | 20.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% | 53.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 7.43% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.2% |