Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 20, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ezio Scida

Crotone
2 - 3
Bologna

Messias (32'), Simy (40' pen.)
Cuomo (22'), Petriccione (42'), Djidji (55'), Golemic (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Soumaoro (62'), Schouten (70'), Skov Olsen (84')
Dijks (23'), Soumaoro (39'), Dominguez (45+1'), Palacio (73'), Soriano (78'), Larangeira (81'), Skorupski (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Crotone and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Crotone	Draw	Bologna
32.56%	24.5%	42.94%

Both teams to score 58.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.85%

44.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.47%

66.53%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89%

26.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.83%

61.17%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.33%

20.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.74%

53.25%

Score Analysis

Crotone 32.56%

Bologna 42.94%

Draw 24.49%

Crotone	Draw	Bologna
2-1 @ 7.67% 1-0 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.56%	1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.49%	1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Crotone vs Bologna

Crotone

13.7%

Draw

23.5%

Bologna

62.7%