Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Cagliari |
40.09% | 25.41% | 34.5% |
Both teams to score 56.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.23% | 47.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.05% | 69.95% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% | 23.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.33% | 57.67% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% | 26.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% | 61.91% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |