Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 17, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ezio Scida

Crotone
4 - 1
Benevento

Glik (5' og.), Simy (29', 54'), Vulic (65')
Messias (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Falque (82')
Insigne (29'), Ionita (44'), Barba (71'), Dabo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Crotone and Benevento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Crotone	Draw	Benevento
31.44%	25.45%	43.11%

Both teams to score 54.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19%

48.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09%

70.91%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89%

29.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96%

65.04%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44%

22.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84%

56.16%

Score Analysis

Crotone 31.44%

Benevento 43.11%

Draw 25.44%

Crotone	Draw	Benevento
1-0 @ 8.11% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.44%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.11%

How you voted: Crotone vs Benevento

Crotone

26.2%

Draw

27.7%

Benevento

46.2%