Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
0 - 2
AC Milan

Godin (83'), Ceppitelli (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ibrahimovic (7' pen., 52')
Romagnoli (39'), Saelemaekers (68')
Saelemaekers (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
12.43%	17.95%	69.62%

Both teams to score 51.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.5%

39.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.15%

61.85%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.22%

42.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.9%

79.1%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.77%

10.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.44%

33.56%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 12.43%

AC Milan 69.61%

Draw 17.95%

Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 3.72% 2-1 @ 3.6% 2-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.16% 3-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.43%	1-1 @ 8.47% 0-0 @ 4.38% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 1% Total : 17.95%	0-2 @ 11.37% 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 8.64% 1-3 @ 7.34% 0-4 @ 4.93% 1-4 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.12% 0-5 @ 2.25% 1-5 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.78% Other @ 4.47% Total : 69.61%

How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari

10.8%

Draw

11.6%

AC Milan

77.5%