Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sassuolo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crotone | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 33.62% | 23.37% | 43.01% |
| Both teams to score 63.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.56% | 38.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.27% | 60.73% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% | 22.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.53% | 56.47% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% | 18.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.65% | 49.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crotone | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.58% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.69% Total : 43.01% |