Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Jan 6, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ezio Scida

Crotone
1 - 3
Roma

Golemic (71')
Golemic (33'), Magallan (41')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Mayoral (8', 29'), Mkhitaryan (35' pen.)
Peres (22'), Ibanez (57'), Pellegrini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Crotone and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Crotone	Draw	Roma
22.59%	21.45%	55.95%

Both teams to score 60.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.56%

37.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.34%

59.66%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24%

29.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17%

65.83%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.66%

13.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.79%

40.2%

Score Analysis

Crotone 22.59%

Roma 55.95%

Draw 21.45%

Crotone	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 5.87% 1-0 @ 4.81% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.05% Total : 22.59%	1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.45%	1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.06% 0-1 @ 8% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-3 @ 5.41% 2-3 @ 3.97% 1-4 @ 3.3% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.74% Total : 55.95%