Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 6, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Sassuolo
1 - 2
Spezia

Caputo (25')
De Zerbi (70'), Locatelli (79'), Ferrari (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Erlic (39'), Gyasi (78')
Bastoni (31'), Erlic (70'), Vignali (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Spezia
60.19%	20.46%	19.35%

Both teams to score 59.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.73%

37.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.52%

59.49%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95%

12.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.44%

37.57%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.34%

32.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.8%

69.21%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 60.19%

Spezia 19.35%

Draw 20.46%

Sassuolo	Draw	Spezia
2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 6.95% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.68% 4-0 @ 3.29% 4-2 @ 2.06% 5-1 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 4.16% Total : 60.19%	1-1 @ 9.32% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.46%	1-2 @ 5.22% 0-1 @ 4.41% 0-2 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 19.35%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Spezia

Sassuolo

75.9%

Draw

17.2%

Spezia

6.9%