Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Crotone

Bonaventura (20'), Vlahovic (32')
Julio (4'), Ribery (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Simy (66')
Zanellato (30'), Pereira (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Crotone
50.74%	24.35%	24.91%

Both teams to score 53.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.91%

48.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.75%

70.25%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04%

18.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51%

50.49%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37%

33.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.72%

70.28%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 50.74%

Crotone 24.91%

Draw 24.34%

Fiorentina	Draw	Crotone
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.74%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Crotone

Fiorentina

77.8%

Draw

19.4%

Crotone

2.8%