Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 17, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
6 - 0
Fiorentina

Insigne (5', 72' pen.), Demme (36'), Lozano (38'), Zielinski (45'), Politano (89')
Insigne (51')

FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Fiorentina
66.7%	18.85%	14.45%

Both teams to score 54.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.12%

38.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.8%

61.2%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.2%

10.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.17%

34.83%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.62%

39.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.92%

76.08%

Score Analysis

Napoli 66.7%

Fiorentina 14.45%

Draw 18.85%

Napoli	Draw	Fiorentina
2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 7.28% 4-0 @ 4.35% 4-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.39% 5-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 4.35% Total : 66.7%	1-1 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.57% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.85%	1-2 @ 4.11% 0-1 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.84% Total : 14.45%