Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Crotone |
64.45% | 19.59% | 15.95% |
Both teams to score 55.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.81% | 39.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.48% | 61.52% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.52% | 11.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.68% | 36.31% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% | 37.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.62% | 74.38% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Crotone |
2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-0 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.45% | 1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.84% 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 4.47% 0-1 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
8 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
14 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |