Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 10, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Cagliari

Vlahovic (72')
Biraghi (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliva (53'), Tramoni (86'), Pavoletti (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Cagliari
60.88%	21.71%	17.42%

Both teams to score 51.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.95%

46.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65%

68.35%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.35%

14.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.21%

42.79%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.03%

39.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.38%

76.62%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 60.87%

Cagliari 17.42%

Draw 21.7%

Fiorentina	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 6.34% 4-0 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.55% Total : 60.87%	1-1 @ 10.31% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 2.46% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.42%