Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Jan 6, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
1 - 2
Benevento

Pedro (20')
Caligara (5'), Nandez (84'), Sottil (89'), Pisacane (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sau (41'), Tuia (44')
Schiattarella (6'), Caprari (84'), Improta (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Benevento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Benevento
25.6%	25.61%	48.79%

Both teams to score 50.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.34%

52.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.7%

74.3%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48%

35.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71%

72.28%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4%

21.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.3%

54.69%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 25.6%

Benevento 48.79%

Draw 25.6%

Cagliari	Draw	Benevento
1-0 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.6%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 9.01% 1-3 @ 4.76% 0-3 @ 4.6% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.79%