Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Dec 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 2
Cagliari

Veretout (11'), Dzeko (71'), Mancini (77')
Cristante (19'), Mancini (37'), Kumbulla (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedro (59', 90+1' pen.)
Zappa (20'), Nandez (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Roma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Cagliari
74.08%	15.37%	10.55%

Both teams to score 54.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.95%

32.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.36%

53.64%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.63%

7.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.42%

26.58%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.09%

40.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.52%

77.48%

Score Analysis

Roma 74.08%

Cagliari 10.55%

Draw 15.37%

Roma	Draw	Cagliari
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 7.86% 4-0 @ 5.82% 4-1 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.56% 5-0 @ 3.03% 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-0 @ 1.32% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.56% Total : 74.08%	1-1 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.1% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.37%	1-2 @ 3.14% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-2 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 10.55%