Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Cagliari |
| 44.47% | 27.54% | 27.99% |
| Both teams to score 46.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.58% | 58.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.98% | 79.02% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% | 26.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% | 61.22% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% | 36.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.54% | 73.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.99% |