Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 24, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Milinkovic-Savic (25'), Immobile (71')
Patric (59'), Leiva (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Caputo (6')
Santos (65'), Obiang (68'), Ferrari (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 3-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Sassuolo
57.52%	20.4%	22.08%

Both teams to score 64.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67%

33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.28%

54.72%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.54%

11.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.73%

36.27%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32%

27.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76%

63.24%

Score Analysis

Lazio 57.52%

Sassuolo 22.08%

Draw 20.4%

Lazio	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 6.91% 1-0 @ 6.87% 3-0 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 4.44% 4-1 @ 3.74% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.91% Total : 57.52%	1-1 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.4%	1-2 @ 5.67% 0-1 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.55% Total : 22.08%

How you voted: Lazio vs Sassuolo

Lazio

78.3%

Draw

13.0%

Sassuolo

8.7%