Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 0
Roma

Immobile (14'), Alberto (23', 67')
Milinkovic-Savic (11'), Radu (20'), Acerbi (45+3'), Felipe (62'), Leiva (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mancini (34'), Smalling (60'), Pedro (71'), Mkhitaryan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Roma
33.07%	22.85%	44.09%

Both teams to score 64.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.94%

36.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.83%

58.17%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04%

21.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75%

55.25%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.1%

16.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.06%

46.95%

Score Analysis

Lazio 33.07%

Roma 44.09%

Draw 22.85%

Lazio	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.46% Total : 33.07%	1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.85%	1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 5.27% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.09%

How you voted: Lazio vs Roma

Lazio

27.7%

Draw

27.7%

Roma

44.6%