Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Dec 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
3 - 2
Lazio

Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
52.56%	23.1%	24.34%

Both teams to score 57.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.83%

43.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.43%

65.57%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56%

16.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.88%

46.12%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.55%

31.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.17%

67.83%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 52.56%

Lazio 24.34%

Draw 23.09%

AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.56%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.09%	1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.74% Total : 24.34%