Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
52.56% | 23.1% | 24.34% |
Both teams to score 57.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.83% | 43.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.43% | 65.57% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.56% | 16.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.88% | 46.12% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% | 31.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.17% | 67.83% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.74% Total : 24.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
7 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Lazio | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
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