Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 7, 2021 at 2pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
4 - 0
Crotone

Ibrahimovic (30', 64'), Rebic (69', 70')
Saelemaekers (36'), Romagnoli (81'), Calabria (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rispoli (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Crotone
65.57%	18.25%	16.18%

Both teams to score 60.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.81%

32.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.21%

53.79%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.78%

9.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.8%

31.2%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06%

32.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.48%

69.52%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 65.57%

Crotone 16.18%

Draw 18.25%

AC Milan	Draw	Crotone
2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 7.24% 3-0 @ 6.86% 4-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 4.23% 4-0 @ 4.09% 4-2 @ 2.52% 5-1 @ 2.16% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-2 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 4.02% Total : 65.57%	1-1 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 5.32% 0-0 @ 3.04% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.25%	1-2 @ 4.46% 0-1 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-2 @ 1.87% 1-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.84% Total : 16.18%