Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
2 - 0
Torino

Leao (25'), Kessie (36' pen.)
Pioli (24'), Diaz (38'), Romagnoli (41'), Tonali (45+1'), Dalot (65'), Leao (80'), Calabria (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rincon (26'), Segre (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.02%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Torino win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Torino
68.02%	17.69%	14.29%

Both teams to score 58.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.45%

33.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.64%

55.36%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.97%

9.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.26%

30.74%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84%

36.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06%

72.94%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 68.02%

Torino 14.29%

Draw 17.69%

AC Milan	Draw	Torino
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 7.7% 3-0 @ 7.57% 4-1 @ 4.63% 4-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.92% 4-2 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.86% Total : 68.02%	1-1 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.89% 0-0 @ 3.26% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.69%	1-2 @ 4.06% 0-1 @ 3.32% 0-2 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.19% Total : 14.29%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Torino

AC Milan

81.9%

Draw

13.7%

Torino

4.4%