Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
| 28.53% | 22.59% | 48.88% |
| Both teams to score 63.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.8% | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.59% | 59.4% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% | 25.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% | 59.96% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% | 15.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.49% | 44.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
| 2-1 @ 6.93% 1-0 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.53% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 5.8% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 4% 1-4 @ 2.7% 0-4 @ 1.96% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.9% Total : 48.88% |