Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 23, 2021 at 5pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
0 - 3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
30.49%	22.72%	46.79%

Both teams to score 64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.36%

36.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.2%

58.8%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28%

23.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16%

57.84%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9%

16.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.49%

45.51%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 30.49%

Atalanta BC 46.79%

Draw 22.72%

AC Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.22% 1-0 @ 5.5% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.49%	1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3.82% 3-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 5.58% 2-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 2.55% 2-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.73% Total : 46.79%