Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 12.43% | 16.5% | 71.07% |
| Both teams to score 57.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.72% | 32.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% | 37.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.27% | 74.73% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.96% | 8.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.69% | 28.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 3.61% 1-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.47% 2-0 @ 1.43% 3-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.8% Total : 12.43% | 1-1 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.55% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.5% | 0-2 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-3 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 7.69% 0-4 @ 5.14% 1-4 @ 4.98% 2-3 @ 3.82% 0-5 @ 2.59% 1-5 @ 2.51% 2-4 @ 2.41% 2-5 @ 1.22% 0-6 @ 1.09% 1-6 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.44% Total : 71.07% |